Will China's Rise Be Peaceful? : Security, Stability, and Legitimacy
Toje, Asle (EDT)
Oxford Univ Pr on Demand 2018/03
374 p. 24 cm
Choice Reviews 2018 August
The rise of China will undoubtedly be one of the great spectacles of the twenty-first century. More than a dramatic symbol of the redistribution of global wealth, the event has marked the end of the unipolar international system and the arrival of a new era in world politics. How the security, stability and legitimacy built upon foundations that were suddenly shifting, adapting to this new reality is the subject of Will China's Rise be Peaceful? Bringing together the work of seasoned experts and younger scholars, this volume offers an inclusive examination of the effects of historical patterns-whether interrupted or intact-by the rise of China. The contributors show how strategies among the major powers are guided by existing international rules and expectations as well as by the realities created by an increasingly powerful China. While China has sought to signal its non-revisionist intent its extraordinary economic growth and active diplomacy has in a short time span transformed global and East Asian politics. This has caused constant readjustments as the other key actors have responded to the changing incentives provided by Chinese policies. Will China's Rise be Peaceful? explores these continuities and discontinuities in five areas: theory, history, domestic politics, regional politics, and great power politics. Equally grounded in theory and extensive empirical research, this timely volume offers a remarkably lucid description and interpretation of our changing international relations. In both its approach and its conclusions, it will serve as a model for the study of China in a new era.
Table of Contents
Contents Security, Stability and Legitimacy 1 Abstracts in (chronological order) 7 Biographies (in alphabetical order) 18 Asle Toje: Introduction 22 Key dimensions 26 Security, Stability and Legitimacy 30 Structure 31 Stephen M. Walt: Rising Powers and the Risks of War: A Realist View of Sino-American Relations 33 Introduction 33 I. The Balance of Power and the Risks of War 36 II. The Historical Record 47 III. China's Rise and the Future of Conflict in Asia 53 IV. CONCLUSION 64 G. John Ikenberry: A New Order of Things? China, America, and the Struggle over World Order 68 Introduction 68 Rising States and Power Transitions 72 Rising States and Liberal International Order 77 The Geopolitics of Sino-American Rivalry 83 China and the World of Democracies 88 Conclusions 95 William C. Wohlforth: Not Quite the Same as it Ever was: Power Shifts and Contestation Over the American-Led World Order. 98 No (Hegemonic) War and Change in World Politics 101 Power Shift, Not Power Transition 111 Institutions and Strategic Incentives 118 Conclusion 124 Rosemary Foot: Restraints on Conflict in the China-US relationship: Contesting Power Transition Theory. 127 Introduction 127 Power Transition Theory 129 The Return of Thucydides 135 Regional State Preferences and the Shaping of Regional Order 140 Economic Interdependence and Globalized Production Processes 145 Domestic Economic and Political Priorities 150 Conclusion 152 Historical perspectives 154 Geir Lundestad: Rise and Fall of Great Powers - the uses of history. 154 Introduction 154 Realism and the rise of China 155 Rise, decline and war 158 The United States, China and cooperation 162 Interdependence and war 166 The US still far ahead 169 Conclusion 174 Christopher Layne: The Sound of Distant Thunder: The Pre-World War I Anglo-German Rivalry as a Model for Sino-American Relations in the Early 21st Century 179 Introduction: 179 The uses of theory 182 The return of power politics 184 The difficulties of rising peacefully 186 Bilateral power rivalries 189 The United States and stability 194 The Carr Moment 197 After Pax Americana 200 Odd Arne Westad: The Weight of the Past in China's Relations with Its Asian Neighbors 203 Introduction 203 The United States and China's Relations with Its Neighbors 204 China and the Korean Question 207 The troublesome ally 211 China and the Challenge of Southeast Asian Integration 215 The promise of ASEAN 220 Conclusion 221 Domestic dimensions 224 Minxin Pei: The Rise and Fall of the China Model: Implications for World Peace 224 Introduction 224 Chinese Economic Growth 228 Patronage and Co-optation 236 Selective Repression 241 Manipulation of Nationalism 245 Concluding Thoughts 249 Johan Lagerkvist: Curtailing China's rise before the Real Take-Off? Censorship, Social Protests, and Political Legitimacy 252 Introduction 252 Tightening online censorship 259 Climate of compliance 261 Revisiting the Principal-Agent Dilemma 268 Social protests in rural areas: The Wukan incident 270 Wukan villagers' effective media strategy 273 Conclusions and implications 277 Domestic politics- international policies 283 David Shambaugh: Is China a Global Power? 283 Introduction 283 China's Diplomatic Power 289 China's Military Power 292 China's Search for Soft Power 295 China's Economic Power 298 Still a Developing Country 302 Conclusion & Outlook 304 Zhang Ruizhuang: Despite the